[arsc-ml 106] ARSC-mlからのお知らせ

[nhosoe ＠ grips.ac.jp]

□名前:細江宣裕
□所属:政策研究大学院大学
□会員:会員
□お知らせの内容:研究会関連
------------------------------------
□内容
　:各位
　ポリシー・モデリング・ワークショップを以下の日程で開催いたします。ふるってご参加ください。

細江宣裕@政策研究大学院大学

---------

第4回

日時: 2016年12月3日(土)

場所: 政策研究大学院大学 4階 会議室4B

14:00-15:50

講演者: 近藤絢子氏 (東京大学)

題目: How did workers adjust to indirect employment shocks caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake?

概要: The Great East Japan Earthquake affected workers not only in the establishment that were directly damaged, but also those in trading partners through the disruption of supply chain. I estimate the effect of such indirect shocks to workers on their job separation, inter industry mobility, geographical relocation, as well as employment status in the following few months. Although the self-reported indicator of being affected by the earthquake are significantly correlated with negative outcomes such as high incidence of job separation, when the self-reported indicator is instrumented with proxy for the decline in production at the prefecture-industry level, the effects on labor market outcomes become weaker and mostly insignificant. The result imply that people who faced a negative employment shock may attribute it to the exogenous event, and this may cause non-negligible bias in the self-reported data on the effect of disasters.

16:10-18:00

講演者: 宮崎浩一氏 (香川大学)

題目: Optimal pay-as-you-go social security with endogenous retirement

概要: This paper considers an overlapping-generations model with pay-as-you- go social security and retirement decision making by an old agent. In additi on, this paper assumes that labor productivity depreciates. Under this setti ng, socially optimal allocations are examined. The first-best allocation is an allocation that maximizes welfare when a social planner distributes resou rces and forces an old agent to work and retire as she wants. The second-bes t allocation is one that maximizes welfare when a social planner can use onl y pay-as-you-go social security in a decentralized economy. This paper finds a range of an old agent's labor productivity such that the first-best alloc ation is achieved in a decentralized economy. This finding differs from that in Michel and Pestieau (2013), which notes that the first-best allocation c annot be achieved in a decentralized economy.


第5回

日時: 2017年1月28日(土)

場所: 政策研究大学院大学 4階 会議室4B

14:00-15:50

講演者: 小川光氏 (東京大学)

題目: T.B.A.

概要: T.B.A.

16:10-18:00

講演者: 古沢泰治氏 (一橋大学)

題目: T.B.A.

概要: T.B.A.


-- 
Nobuhiro Hosoe, Ph. D.
Associate Professor, Director of MP1/MP2 Program
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies (GRIPS)
7-22-1 Roppongi, Minato, Tokyo 106-8677, Japan
Tel: +81-3-6439-6129, Fax: +81-3-6439-6010, E-mail: nhosoe ＠ grips.ac.jp
URL: http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~nhosoe/
-----------------------------------------------------------
Textbook of CGE Modeling: Programming and Simulations
[JPN (2nd edition): 4130402722], [ENG: 0230248144], [CHN: 7565415316]
------------------------------------